MMP

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  Commentary: Predictions for the 2011 general election

  24 Nov 11 – Here are Horizon's predictions for the 2011 General Election. We've waited until the last minute to post them, so as to take into account the latest polls by Horizon, Reid Research, Colmar Brunton, DigiPoll and other polling companies. Polling the electorate during an intense election campaign is...

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  Comparing polls

  14 May 11 – Some bloggers supporting various political parties are asking why Horizon's party vote poll results differ from other polls. They point out that other polls, mainly conducted by phone, have National about 20% ahead of Labour. Horizon's polls show a lesser margin, for example, 9.7% on May 14 and...

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  MMP: 50% say keep it

  23 Nov 11 – 56% of votes cast in this weekend's referendum will be to keep the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) system. Overall, 50% will vote for it, 39.8% against, while 10.1% say they won’t vote on this question in the booths on Saturday, according to a RadioLIVE-HorizonPoll covering 2,701 adults. 56%...

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  MMP: Horizon 56% - votes cast 55.76%

  27 Nov 11 – Horizon’s final pre-election survey found 56% of the votes cast would be to not change the Mixed Member Proportional (MMP) voting system. The official preliminary referendum result is 55.76% of votes cast support keeping MMP. In the second part of the referendum, in which voters were asked to...

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  Sunday Star Times on deals in high places

  24 Jul 11 – Deals being done in high-profile seats such as Ohariu and Epsom will be critical to the next government, the Sunday Star Times reports. Ohariu, in Wellington, is held by United Future's Peter Dunne, while Epsom, in Auckland, is being vacated by Act's Rodney Hide and will be contested by former...

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  Sunday Star Times-HorizonPoll shows election close call

  9 Jan 11 – This year's general election could result in a close call, according to a major new Sunday Star Times-HorizonPoll. The Sunday Star Times reports results this morning saying: Kiwis expect John Key's National Party to romp to victory in this year's election, but Labour still has a chance of leading a...

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  Voters feel poorly informed on MMP alternatives

  25 Sep 11 – 74% of New Zealanders want the Electoral Commission to send them more information about alternative voting systems to MMP before casting their votes on electoral reform in just 10 weeks’ time. Some 38.6% of 2,571 voters polled by Horizon Research say they will vote to keep MMP, 33% will vote...

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  Will it be alright on the night?

  8 Nov 11 – Political commentator Richard Long is asking if anyone else getting a queasy feeling about the constant refrain that this election is all over, bar the shouting, and that the Nats are bolting home 20 points ahead of Labour? In an opinion piece on Stuff he says the Horizon Research polling, which...