News
Country evenly split on preferred main party coalition leader
19 Nov 11
The country is now evenly split on which main party is preferred to lead a coalition government if one is required after Saturday’s general election. A 5.5% preference lead for National has closed completely since October 29.
41.5% now want a Labour-led government, 41.1% a National-led one.
|
Overall, would you prefer a Labour-led government or a National-led government after the 26 November 2011 general election? |
|||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||
The first HorizonPoll of the 2011 election campaign, conducted among 887 voters between October 26 and 28, showed 42.1% preferred a National-led government, 36.6% a Labour-led one (a 5.5% gap).
These are results for an HorizonPoll of 3006 people of voting age, conducted between 9 am Wednesday and 8.52 pm 19 Saturday (November 16-19). Weighted by age, gender, ethnicity, personal income, education qualification and party vote 2008, the poll has a maximum margin of error of +/- 1.8%.
The results give New Zealand First, Green and Maori Party party leaders a firm steer: 66% of NZ First voters, 82.6% of Green and 54.6% of Maori Party voters prefer a Labour-led coalition.
87% of Act voters want a National led colaition, while 40.1% of United Future supporters are not sure, 34.4% prefer National and 25.4% Labour.
Preference by 2008 party vote:
|
Overall, would you prefer a Labour-led government or a National-led government after the 26 November 2011 general election? |
|||||
|
Total |
Labour |
National |
Not sure |
|
|
|
|
|||||
|
ALL |
3006 |
41.1% |
41.5% |
17.4% |
|
|
|
|||||
|
PARTY VOTE 2008 |
|
||||
|
ACT New Zealand |
3% |
5.6% |
87.3% |
7.1% |
|
|
Chose not to vote |
15% |
39.8% |
27.5% |
32.7% |
|
|
Don't know or can't remember |
10% |
37.2% |
22.3% |
40.5% |
|
|
Green Party |
5% |
82.6% |
9.4% |
7.9% |
|
|
Jim Anderton's Progressive Party |
1% |
54.2% |
16.7% |
29% |
|
|
Labour Party |
25% |
78.5% |
9.3% |
12.2% |
|
|
Maori Party |
2% |
54.6% |
21.6% |
23.8% |
|
|
National Party |
34% |
9.8% |
82% |
8.2% |
|
|
New Zealand First Party |
3% |
66.2% |
12.4% |
21.4% |
|
|
Other party |
1% |
25.2% |
48.8% |
26% |
|
|
United Future |
1% |
25.4% |
34.4% |
40.2% |
|